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Counterinsurgency Author Responds
Washington Independent
By Spencer Ackerman
July 28, 2008
In the course of a piece I'm proud of about David Kilcullen's forthcoming strategy-level
counterinsurgency handbook, I included a profanity-laden quote from him about the wisdom of the
Iraq war. This was a mistake on my part and I take full responsibility for the fact that it
overshadowed what I consider Kilcullen's valuable, serious, and hard-learned counterinsurgency
insights.
On Small Wars Journal, Dave writes a clarification of his views on the war that I'd like to
quote at length:
Spencer Ackerman, in yesterday's Washington Independent, claims I told him the Iraq war was
"f*cking stupid". He did not seek to clear that quote with me, and I would not have approved it if
he had. If he HAD sought a formal comment, I would have told him what I have said publicly before:
in my view, the decision to invade Iraq in 2003 was an extremely serious strategic error. But the
task of the moment is not to cry over spilt milk, rather to help clean it up: a task in which the
surge, the comprehensive counterinsurgency approach, and our troops on the ground are admirably
succeeding. ...
Like every other counterinsurgency professional, I warned against the war in 2002-3 on the
grounds that it was likely to be extremely difficult, demand far more resources than our leaders
seemed willing to commit, inflame world Muslim opinion making our counterterrorism tasks harder,
and entail a significant opportunity cost in Afghanistan and elsewhere. This was hardly an
original or brilliant insight. Nor was it particularly newsworthy: it was a view shared with the
rest of my community, and you would be hard-pressed to find any professional counterinsurgent who
thought the 2003/4 strategy was sensible.
The question of whether we were right to invade Iraq is a fascinating debate for historians and
politicians, and a valid issue for the American people to consider in an election year. As it
happens, I think it was a mistake. But that is not my key concern. The issue for practitioners in
the field is not to second-guess a decision from six years ago, but to get on with the job at hand
which, I believe, is what both Americans and Iraqis expect of us. In that respect, the new
strategy and tactics implemented in 2007, and which relied for their effectiveness on the extra
troop numbers of the Surge, ARE succeeding and need to be supported. In 2006, a normal night in
Baghdad involved 120 to 150 dead Iraqi civilians, and each month we lost dozens of Americans
killed or maimed. This year, a bad night involves one or two dead civilians, U.S. losses are
dramatically down, and security is restored. Therefore, even on the most conservative estimate, in
the eighteen months of the surge to date we have saved 12 to 16 thousand Iraqis and hundreds of
American lives. And we are now in a position to pursue a political strategy that will ultimately
see Iraq stable, our forces withdrawn, and this whole sorry adventure tidied up to the maximum
extent possible so that we can get on with the fight in other theaters – most pressingly,
Afghanistan.
In the course of our conversation about his handbook, Dave made these and other points about
the war, which are included lower down in the piece. I included the profanity because I thought it
underscored the depth of his commitment to try to dig American strategy out of the morass of Iraq,
which I and many others view as uncomplicatedly admirable. What I should have realized is that the
profanity overwhelms the broader points presented in the handbook and about Dave's personality and
professional vision. For that, I apologize, not only to Dave, but to my readers, who I hope will
pay attention to those broader points despite my error in judgment.
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