|
Poll: Impeach Bush and Cheney
American Research Group
July 6, 2007
| Question: |
| Do you approve or disapprove of President George W. Bush commuting
the 30-month prison sentence of I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby while leaving intact Mr. Libby's
conviction for perjury and obstruction of justice in the CIA leak case? |
|
| 7/5/07 |
Approve |
Disapprove |
Undecided |
|
| All Adults |
31% |
64% |
5% |
| Voters |
26% |
69% |
5% |
|
| Democrats (38%) |
13% |
76% |
11% |
| Republicans (29%) |
50% |
47% |
3% |
| Independents (33%) |
19% |
80% |
1% |
|
| Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample
of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage
points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered
voters. |
| Question: |
| Do you favor or oppose a complete presidential pardon for Mr.
Libby? |
|
| 7/5/07 |
Favor |
Oppose |
Undecided |
|
| All Adults |
11% |
84% |
5% |
| Voters |
9% |
84% |
7% |
|
| Democrats (38%) |
7% |
82% |
11% |
| Republicans (29%) |
23% |
70% |
7% |
| Independents (33%) |
2% |
97% |
1% |
|
| Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample
of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage
points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered
voters. |
| Question: |
| Do you favor or oppose the US House of Representatives beginning
impeachment proceedings against President George W. Bush? |
|
| 7/5/07 |
Favor |
Oppose |
Undecided |
|
| All Adults |
45% |
46% |
9% |
| Voters |
46% |
44% |
10% |
|
| Democrats (38%) |
69% |
22% |
9% |
| Republicans (29%) |
13% |
86% |
1% |
| Independents (33%) |
50% |
30% |
20% |
|
| 3/15/06 |
42% |
49% |
9% |
|
| Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample
of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage
points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered
voters. |
| Question: |
| Do you favor or oppose the US House of Representatives beginning
impeachment proceedings against Vice President Dick Cheney? |
|
| 7/5/07 |
Favor |
Oppose |
Undecided |
|
| All Adults |
54% |
40% |
6% |
| Voters |
50% |
44% |
6% |
|
| Democrats (38%) |
76% |
24% |
- |
| Republicans (29%) |
17% |
83% |
- |
| Independents (33%) |
51% |
29% |
20% |
|
| Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample
of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage
points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered
voters. |
June 30, 2007 - Presidential Preferences
| Democrats |
IA |
NH |
SC |
|
| Biden |
2% |
4% |
3% |
| Clark |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Clinton |
32% |
34% |
37% |
| Dodd |
2% |
3% |
2% |
| Edwards |
29% |
11% |
22% |
| Gravel |
1% |
2% |
- |
| Kucinich |
1% |
3% |
2% |
| Obama |
13% |
25% |
21% |
| Richardson |
5% |
6% |
1% |
| Undecided |
14% |
11% |
11% |
John Edwards is at 33% among women in Iowa and Hillary Clinton is at 32% among
women in Iowa. Among men in Iowa, Clinton leads Edwards 32% to 23%.
For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under
2008 Presidential Polls.
| Republicans |
IA |
NH |
SC |
|
| Brownback |
3% |
1% |
1% |
| Gilmore |
- |
- |
1% |
| Giuliani |
18% |
19% |
22% |
| Gingrich |
5% |
4% |
6% |
| Hagel |
1% |
- |
- |
| Huckabee |
1% |
1% |
3% |
| Hunter |
1% |
1% |
2% |
| McCain |
13% |
21% |
23% |
| Pataki |
- |
- |
- |
| Paul |
1% |
1% |
- |
| Romney |
25% |
27% |
8% |
| Tancredo |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| F Thompson |
14% |
10% |
19% |
| T Thompson |
3% |
- |
- |
| Undecided |
14% |
14% |
14% |
John McCain has lost support among Republican men in Iowa and South Carolina while Fred
Thompson has picked up support among Republican men.
For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008
Presidential Polls.
June 22, 2007
| Bush Job Approval Ratings |
| 6/21/07 |
Approve |
Disapprove |
Undecided |
|
| Overall |
27% |
67% |
6% |
| Economy |
29% |
64% |
7% |
Two-thirds of Americans disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job
as president. Details from the nationwide survey conducted June 18-21 are available at The National Economy.
June 20, 2007 - Presidential Preferences
| Democrats |
Nevada |
|
| Biden |
2% |
| Clark |
1% |
| Clinton |
40% |
| Dodd |
1% |
| Edwards |
16% |
| Gravel |
1% |
| Kucinich |
2% |
| Obama |
16% |
| Richardson |
6% |
| Undecided |
15% |
Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama 44% to 15% among women in Nevada, with John
Edwards at 10%. Clinton leads Edwards 35% to 24% among men in Nevada, with Obama at 17%.
For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under
2008 Presidential Polls.
| Republicans |
Nevada |
|
|
| Brownback |
1% |
| Gilmore |
2% |
| Giuliani |
21% |
| Gingrich |
3% |
| Hagel |
- |
| Huckabee |
1% |
| Hunter |
- |
| McCain |
16% |
| Pataki |
- |
| Paul |
1% |
| Romney |
23% |
| Tancredo |
1% |
| F Thompson |
16% |
| T Thompson |
1% |
| Undecided |
15% |
Among women in Nevada, Rudy Giuliani leads Mitt Romney 29% to 27%, with 10% for John McCain and
9% for Fred Thompson. Among men in Nevada, McCain and Fred Thompson are tied at 21% each, followed
by Romney at 19% and Giuliani at 15%.
For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008
Presidential Polls.
June 13, 2007 - National Presidential Preferences
The following results are based on nationwide samples of 600 likely Democratic primary voters
and 600 likely Republican primary voters (those saying they will definitely vote in a
primary or participate in a caucus in 2008) conducted June 9-12, 2007. The theoretical margin of
error for each sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time.
Hillary Clinton's support is unchanged from May. Support for Barack Obama has dropped 12
percentage points from March.
| National Primary |
| Democrats |
Mar 2007 |
Apr 2007 |
May 2007 |
Jun 2007 |
|
| Biden |
1% |
2% |
3% |
3% |
| Clark |
1% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
| Clinton |
34% |
36% |
39% |
39% |
| Dodd |
1% |
1% |
2% |
1% |
| Edwards |
15% |
19% |
19% |
13% |
| Gravel |
- |
- |
- |
1% |
| Kucinich |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Obama |
31% |
24% |
22% |
19% |
| Richardson |
2% |
2% |
2% |
5% |
| Undecided |
14% |
14% |
11% |
16% |
Hillary Clinton continues to lead among women. In May, 47% of women said they would vote for
Clinton. Barack Obama leads among independents saying they will definitely vote in a Democratic
primary or participate in a Democratic caucus.
| National Primary |
| Democrats |
Dem (84%) |
Ind (16%) |
Men (44%) |
Women (56%) |
|
| Biden |
3% |
5% |
2% |
3% |
| Clark |
2% |
- |
4% |
- |
| Clinton |
42% |
23% |
31% |
46% |
| Dodd |
1% |
- |
1% |
1% |
| Edwards |
14% |
7% |
13% |
13% |
| Gravel |
1% |
- |
2% |
- |
| Kucinich |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Obama |
17% |
29% |
21% |
18% |
| Richardson |
3% |
14% |
8% |
3% |
| Undecided |
16% |
21% |
17% |
15% |
Rudy Giuliani continues to lead among Republicans, but he has lost 10 percentage points in
support since March.
| National Primary |
| Republicans |
Mar 2007 |
Apr 2007 |
May 2007 |
Jun 2007 |
|
| Brownback |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Gilmore |
1% |
- |
1% |
1% |
| Giuliani |
34% |
27% |
28% |
24% |
| Gingrich |
12% |
10% |
13% |
12% |
| Hagel |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Huckabee |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Hunter |
- |
- |
1% |
1% |
| McCain |
30% |
23% |
24% |
20% |
| Pataki |
1% |
- |
- |
- |
| Paul |
1% |
- |
1% |
1% |
| Romney |
7% |
12% |
8% |
10% |
| Tancredo |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| F Thompson |
ni |
9% |
6% |
15% |
| T Thompson |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
9% |
14% |
13% |
11% |
Rudy Giuliani leads among Republicans and women likely to vote in a Republican primary or
participate in a Republican caucus while John McCain leads among independents and men.
| National Primary |
| Republicans |
Rep (89%) |
Ind (11%) |
Men (54%) |
Women (46%) |
|
| Brownback |
1% |
- |
1% |
1% |
| Gilmore |
1% |
- |
1% |
1% |
| Giuliani |
25% |
19% |
17% |
33% |
| Gingrich |
12% |
9% |
16% |
7% |
| Hagel |
1% |
- |
1% |
- |
| Huckabee |
1% |
- |
- |
2% |
| Hunter |
1% |
- |
1% |
1% |
| McCain |
18% |
38% |
21% |
19% |
| Pataki |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Paul |
1% |
- |
2% |
- |
| Romney |
10% |
9% |
11% |
9% |
| Tancredo |
1% |
- |
1% |
- |
| F Thompson |
15% |
11% |
16% |
14% |
| T Thompson |
1% |
- |
1% |
- |
| Undecided |
12% |
14% |
11% |
13% |
April 12, 2007 - Likely Primary Voters on Iraq
There are stark differences between likely Democratic and Republican primary voters over
Iraq.
The following results are based on nationwide samples of 600 likely Democratic primary voters
(PV) and 600 likely Republican primary voters (PV) conducted April 9-12, 2007. The theoretical
margin of error for each sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time. Primary
preferences for each party are below.
| Question: |
| Do you believe that the United States can win the war in Iraq, or
not? |
|
| |
Can win |
No |
Undecided |
|
| Democratic PV |
17% |
70% |
13% |
| Republican PV |
75% |
20% |
5% |
85% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 71% of those voting for
John Edwards, and 64% of those voting for Barack Obama say they do not believe the United States
can win the war in Iraq.
86% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 62% of those voting for Rudy
Giuliani, and 68% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they believe the United States can win the
war in Iraq.
| Question: |
| Do you favor or oppose setting a deadline for the withdrawal of all
US troops from Iraq |
|
| |
Favor |
Oppose |
Undecided |
|
| Democratic PV |
70% |
17% |
13% |
| Republican PV |
17% |
77% |
6% |
74% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 57% of those voting for
John Edwards, and 81% of those voting for Barack Obama say they favor setting a deadline for the
withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq.
89% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 63% of those voting for Rudy
Giuliani, and 62% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they oppose setting a deadline for the
withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq.
| Question: |
| Do you favor or oppose the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even
if it means an increase in violence among the Iraqi people? |
|
| |
Favor |
Oppose |
Undecided |
|
| Democratic PV |
53% |
31% |
16% |
| Republican PV |
16% |
77% |
7% |
62% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 50% of those voting for
John Edwards, and 54% of those voting for Barack Obama say they favor the withdrawal of all US
troops from Iraq even if it means an increase in violence among the Iraqi people.
91% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 64% of those voting for Rudy
Giuliani, and 64% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they oppose the withdrawal of all US troops
from Iraq even if it means an increase in violence among the Iraqi people.
| Question: |
| Do you favor or oppose the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even
if it means violence could spread to other countries in the region? |
|
| |
Favor |
Oppose |
Undecided |
|
| Democratic PV |
56% |
33% |
11% |
| Republican PV |
15% |
80% |
5% |
73% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 50% of those voting for
John Edwards, and 48% of those voting for Barack Obama say they favor the withdrawal of all US
troops from Iraq even if it means violence could spread to other countries in the region.
93% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 66% of those voting for Rudy
Giuliani, and 63% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they oppose the withdrawal of all US troops
from Iraq even if it means violence could spread to other countries in the region.
| Question: |
| If the United States withdrew all troops from Iraq, do you believe
that the terrorists fighting in Iraq would travel to the United States to fight here, or not? |
|
| |
Travel |
Not |
Undecided |
|
| Democratic PV |
23% |
70% |
7% |
| Republican PV |
61% |
34% |
5% |
67% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 84% of those voting for
John Edwards, and 71% of those voting for Barack Obama say they do not believe that the terrorists
fighting in Iraq would travel to the United States to fight if the US withdrew all troops from
Iraq.
71% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 45% of those voting for Rudy
Giuliani, and 53% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they believe that the terrorists fighting in
Iraq would travel to the United States to fight if the US withdrew all troops from Iraq.
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