Global warming cause of intense
hurricanes?
MSNBC
By Robert Bazell
Correspondent
NBC News
Updated: 10:49 p.m. ET Sept. 21, 2005
NEW YORK - In recorded history, two storms as powerful as Hurricanes Rita
and Katrina have never hit the United States in one season. A coincidence,
perhaps, but scientists say ocean temperature could be big factor.
"If you think of a hurricane like a car,' explains NASA's
Dr. David Adamec, "there are a lot of parts that keep it going, but the
sea surface temperature and the heat that is provided by the ocean, that is the
gasoline that fuels it.'
In the Gulf of Mexico, there is a lot of fuel right now.
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To measure sea temperature, researchers use buoys that transmit readings
directly, as well as remote sensing satellites. Those readings have found
record temperatures in the gulf and Atlantic Ocean this year.
"The sun was having an easy time reaching the sea surface and just
warmed up the water,' says Adamec, "and just made it ripe for a lot
of strong intense hurricanes this year.'
The big question is will the trend continue in future years?
Scientists say one season, even like this one, cannot indicate anything
about climate change. But those same measurements show that in the past 50
years the oceans have gotten one degree warmer. That may not sound like much,
but the experts say it is a lot of energy.
Indeed, recent studies show that, worldwide, the number of Category 4 and 5
hurricanes has doubled with that one degree change and that's a source of
worry.
At the moment we've only warmed up one,' says Dr. Stephen
Schnieder, a climatologist at Stanford's Institute for International
Studies. "What happens when we warm up three or five degrees —
which is projected in the next several decades to the end of the
century?'
It's global warming that many experts say results partly from humans
releasing greenhouse gases — possibly creating even more violent storms
in the future.
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