We didn't go in with a plan.
We went in with a theory
Knight Ridder/Editor & Publisher
By E&P Staff
Published: October 16, 2004 10:00 PM EDT
NEW YORK Knight Ridder's Washington bureau, which in the past
two years has produced a string of important exclusives related
to the Iraq war (and prewar), offered evidence today about poor
or "non-existent" planning for the U.S. occupation of Iraq, as
well as the failure to provide 100,000 more troops military
commanders had wanted.
The article carries the byline of Warren P. Strobel and John
Walcott but was also reported by Joseph Galloway and Jonathan
Landay. It was based on official documents and on interviews with
more than three dozen current and former military and civilian
officials who participated directly in planning for the war and
its aftermath.
Some senior officials spoke about their concerns for the first
time, the story said.
"A Knight Ridder review of the administration's Iraq policy
and decisions has found that it invaded Iraq without a
comprehensive plan in place to secure and rebuild the country,"
the article declares.
"The administration also failed to provide some 100,000
additional U.S. troops that American military commanders
originally wanted to help restore order and reconstruct a country
shattered by war, a brutal dictatorship and economic sanctions.
In fact, some senior Pentagon officials had thought they could
bring most American soldiers home from Iraq by September 2003.
Instead, more than a year later, 138,000 U.S. troops are still
fighting," it also states.
The authors quote a veteran State Department officer who was
directly involved in Iraq policy saying, "We didn't go in with a
plan. We went in with a theory."
"We've finally got our act together, but we're all afraid it
may be too late," commented one senior official still engaged
daily in Iraq policy.
The Bush administration's failure to develop a plan to win the
peace was the product of many of the same problems that plagued
the administration's case for war, the KR report continues,
"including wishful thinking, bad information from Iraqi exiles
who said Iraqis would welcome American troops as liberators and
contempt for dissenting opinions."
However, the administration's planning for postwar Iraq
differed in one crucial respect from its erroneous prewar claims,
the article says: "The U.S. intelligence community had been
divided about the state of Saddam's weapons programs, but there
was little disagreement among experts throughout the government
that winning the peace in Iraq could be much harder than winning
a war.
"A half-dozen intelligence reports warned that American troops
could face significant postwar resistance. This foot-high stack
of material was distributed at White House meetings of Bush's top
foreign policy advisers, but there's no evidence that anyone ever
acted on it. 'It was disseminated. And ignored,' said a former
senior intelligence official."
The KR story features this anecdote up top: "In March 2003,
days before the start of the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq, American
war planners and intelligence officials met at Shaw Air Force
Base in South Carolina to review the Bush administration's plans
to oust Saddam Hussein and implant democracy in Iraq. Near the
end of his presentation, an Army lieutenant colonel who was
giving a briefing showed a slide describing the Pentagon's plans
for rebuilding Iraq after the war, known in the planners'
parlance as Phase 4-C.
"He was uncomfortable with his material, and for good reason.
The slide said: 'To Be Provided.'
In an interesting sidelight, the article notes that every
effort was made to get those who were interviewed to speak for
the record, "but many officials requested anonymity because they
didn't want to criticize the administration publicly or because
they feared retaliation. One official who was deeply involved in
the pre-war planning effort, and was critical of it, initially
agreed but then declined to cooperate after expressing concern
that the Justice Department might pursue a reporter's telephone
records in an effort to hunt down critics of the administration's
policies."
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