Global warming severest in
Arctic: study
CNews (Canada)
By BOB WEBER
November 08, 2004
EDMONTON (CP) - A comprehensive scientific study of the Arctic
climate has confirmed what Canadian Dene and Inuit have been
saying for years: the North is melting, and faster all the
time.
Released Monday, the four-year study produced by 250
scientists from eight circumpolar countries concludes that global
warming is affecting the Arctic more heavily than any other
region on earth.
"Earth's climate is changing, with the global temperature now
rising at a rate unprecedented in the experience of modern human
society," says the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment report.
"These climate changes are being experienced particularly
intensely in the Arctic."
The long-awaited report, to be discussed at this month's
meeting in Iceland of the eight-country Arctic Council, lists 10
key findings:
-The average Arctic temperature has increased twice as much as
that of the rest of the world over the past few decades, likely
bringing heavier precipitation, shorter and warmer winters and
much reduced snow and ice cover that will probably last
centuries.
-Arctic climate changes will affect the rest of the world, as
the melting of highly reflective snow and ice increases the
overall heat absorption of the planet and glacial meltwater
raises the sea levels and disrupts ocean currents.
-The treeline will move northward.
-Habitat for marine animals will shrink, threatening some
species such as polar bears with extinction by the end of the
century, while other species will move north. Arctic fisheries
may become more productive.
-Coastal communites will face increasing erosion from heavier
storm seasons and melting permafrost.
-Reduced sea ice could lead to heavier marine traffic and
increased access to some resources.
-Thawing permafrost will damage northern roads, buildings and
infrastructure.
-Aboriginal lifestyles will face major economic and cultural
adjustments.
-Increased ultraviolet radiation will affect people, animals
and plants, with the current Arctic generation expected to
receive about 30 per cent more UV than their mothers and
fathers.
-Climate change is occurring in a context of increasing
chemical pollution, land overuse and population increases.
The report is full of alarming statistics.
Temperatures in Canada's western Arctic have already increased
by three to four degrees Celsius over the last 50 years, with
larger increases projected. Snow cover across the Arctic has
decreased by about 10 per cent over the last three decades, with
another 10-20 per cent decline expected.
Permafrost has warmed up by by two degrees, with the depth to
which this warming occurs increasing. The southern permaforst
limit is expected to shift northward by hundreds of kilometres
this century.
The last 30 years has seen sea ice cover decline by 15 to 20
per cent. The area of melting of the Greenland ice cap broke all
previous records last year and Alaskan glaciers have retreated so
rapidly they make up about half the glacier melting for the
entire world.
Despite the attention likely to be focused on the report,
little of it will come as a surprise to the Inuvialuit, Dene and
Inuit of Canada's North.
From Tuktoyaktuk in the Northwest Territories, where melting
permafrost is washing a community into the ocean, to Baffin
Island, where elders can no longer predict weather or follow
ancient hunting routes, they are already living with climate
change.
The member countries of the Arctic Council - Canada, the
United States, Russia, Norway, Denmark, Sweden, Finland and
Iceland - officially receive the report on Tuesday at their
meeting in Reykjavik, Iceland.
The council's official response is expected on Nov. 24.
Most climate scientists believe global warming is at least
hastened by the increased concentration of greenhouse gases in
the earth's atmosphere. Greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide
are produced in the burning of fossil fuels, the source of about
80 per cent of the world's energy.
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