Arctic Ice Melt
Accelerating
Sci Tech Today
Posted November 3, 2004 10:50AM
The Arctic is warming almost twice as fast as the rest of the
planet due to global warming, according to an eight-nation report
compiled by 250 scientists. "The big melt has begun," said
Jennifer Morgan, director of the WWF's global climate change
campaign.
A thaw of the Arctic icecap is accelerating because of global
warming but nations in the region including the United States are
deadlocked about how to stop it.
An eight-nation report compiled by 250 scientists due for
publication on November 8th says the Arctic is warming almost
twice as fast as the rest of the planet due to a build-up of
heat- trapping gases and the trend is set to continue.
"We are taking a risk with the global climate," said Mr. Paal
Prestrud, vice-chair of the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment
(ACIA) report, which says emissions of gases from cars, factories
and power plants are mostly to blame.
The Arctic icecap has shrunk by 15-20 per cent in the past 30
years and the contraction is likely to accelerate, Mr. Prestrud
said. The Arctic Ocean could be almost ice-free in summer by the
end of the century.
Inuit hunters are falling through ice, permafrost is thawing
and destabilizing foundations of buildings and vital winter
roads, while the habitat of creatures from polar bears to seals
is literally melting away.
The report says that the thaw will have some positive
side-effects. Oil and gas deposits will be easier to reach, more
farming may be possible and short-cut trans-Arctic shipping lanes
may open.
Diplomats said governments in nations around the Arctic rim --
the United States, Russia, Canada, Denmark, Norway, Sweden,
Finland and Iceland -- disagree about what to do, with the United
States most opposed to any drastic action.
Arctic nations are meant to agree policy recommendations based
on the report at a meeting of foreign ministers in Iceland on
November 24th.
"U.S. negotiators say 'we already have a policy on global
warming -- we can't have a new one just for the Arctic'," one
European diplomat said. Government negotiators will try to break
deadlock with a new round of talks in mid-November.
President George W Bush pulled out of the UN's Kyoto protocol
on global warming in 2001, arguing it was too expensive and
wrongly excluded developing nations.
The other Arctic nations, most recently Russia, have agreed to
Kyoto's target of cutting developed nations' emissions of carbon
dioxide by 5 per cent below 1990 levels by 2008-12.
The WWF environmental group yesterday accused the eight
nations, which account for 30 per cent of global greenhouse gas
emissions, of hypocrisy in sponsoring the Arctic report while
failing to crack down.
"The big melt has begun," Ms. Jennifer Morgan, director of the
WWF's global climate change campaign, said in a statement. She
said industrialized nations were using the Arctic as a guinea pig
in an uncontrolled experiment on climate change.
Scientists have agreed to discuss parts of the report ahead of
full publication.
The report projects that temperatures in the Arctic will rise
by four to seven degrees in the next 100 years.
If temperatures then stayed stable, the Greenland icecap would
melt altogether in 1,000 years and raise global sea levels by
about seven meters.
The thaw of the icecap floating on the Arctic Ocean does not
affect sea levels, in the same way that a full glass of water
with an ice cube jutting above the brim does not spill when the
ice melts since ice takes up more space than water.
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