A Republican Senator claimed on a Sunday talk show that generals have told
him that a "low grade" civil war has been going on in Iraq for the last six
months to a year, RAW STORY has found.
"I think we have had a low-grade civil war going on in Iraq, certainly the
last six months, maybe the last year," said Senator Chuck Hagel (R-Neb.) on
ABC's This Week with George Stephanopoulos. "Our own generals have told me that
privately, George. So that's a fact. And for us to walk away from that or try
to hue this up with some rosy veneer--"
Hagel, who has picked more than a few fights with the Bush Administration
the last few years, also criticized a line from a column that Secretary of
Defense Donald Rumsfeld wrote and had published in the Washington Post, which
compared withdrawal from Iraq to appeasing the Nazis.
"Turning our backs on postwar Iraq today would be the modern equivalent of
handing postwar Germany back to the Nazis," wrote Rumsfeld.
When asked by Stephanopoulos if that analogy was appropriate, Hagel said
that it wasn't, though he understood "that the secretary has a difficult
assignment to try to assign some credibility to the current policy," which
wasn't "working."
Hagel complained about the constant refrain invoked by the Administration
about how "we're not going to leave until we achieve victory." After rattling
off a number of goals already achieved, such as Saddam's capture and Iraqi
elections, Hagel argued that the term was too "nebulous" and could signify that
"we'll never be out of there."
Stephanopoulos' other guest, Senator Jack Reed (D-RI) argued that another
major problem is that there was no "compliment" to the military forces in
Iraq.
"We don't have the State Department people, the Department of Agriculture,
the AID people to transform this military success into something that people
would talk about as a stable and effective governmental structure in Iraq,"
Reed said.
Crooks and Liars has a video clip of Hagel's contention that generals told
him that Iraq was experiencing a "low grade civil war" at this link.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: Good morning, everyone. Three years ago tonight, the
first U.S. bombs fell on Baghdad and the first U.S. troops prepared to invade
Iraq. Now, Saddam Hussein is out of power and on trial for mass murder. Iraqis
have voted for a new government and a new constitution. But as we all now know,
no weapons of mass destruction were found, the fighting has not stopped, and
the costs have been steep. More than 2,300 American military dead and more than
17,000 wounded. Almost 34,000 Iraqis dead, more than 50,000 wounded. We spent
over 225 billion dollars on Iraq. By the end of this year, that number will top
320 billion.
Here to discuss all this are two senators who have been to Iraq several
times, Republican Chuck Hagel of Nebraska and Democrat Jack Reed of Rhode
Island. Welcome, gentlemen.
And Senator Hagel, let me begin with you. A majority of Americans now look
at all those costs and say the war just wasn't worth fighting. Do you
agree?
SEN. HAGEL: I think history will determine that question. The fact is we are
where we are, George. A lot of mistakes have been made. We've not going to go
back and unwind those mistakes. We have an awful lot at stake here now, the
United States, the world, in the Middle East. But I think where we must now
focus our energy is to help in every way we can, and I think our options are
limited here, find a political settlement. The center of gravity for the future
of Iraq and the Middle East, and I say the Middle East because this is part of
a larger equation, which includes Iran, is a political settlement. The sooner
that we can help find that, then I think that is going to be the key to our
future, certainly our involvement there, our options are limited, our influence
is limited.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: Senator Reed, you said recently that the objective now
has to be to redeploy our forces as quickly as possible. How and when?
SEN. REED: Well, it has to be done as quickly as possible, I pointed out.
How do we do that? We do that by basically not only encouraging, but insisting
that the Iraqis step up. The president's slogan, and he's good at slogans, not
good on strategy, but good at slogans, is that we'll stand down when they stand
up is wrong. We're standing down. They have to stand up much faster than
they're doing it right now. And then we can begin to redeploy within the
country and then hopefully begin to deploy our troops out of the region.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: Picking up on what Senator Hagel said, two of your
democratic colleagues, Senator Levin and Senator Biden, have said that
basically this political solution has about six weeks and if they can't come
together in the next six weeks, we have to reassess our entire presence. Do you
agree with that?
SEN. REED: I absolutely do agree with that. And I think the president has to
stop taking half-steps. If it's important to get this government in place,
which I think is absolutely critical, it'll buy us some time. It might not buy
us success, but it will buy us time. I think he shouldn't be timid. I think he
should send the Secretary of State, Secretary Rice over there to convene these
people, to insist that this is the highest-level priority for the people of
Iraq and also for the United States.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: But when you say reassess, and I want to ask you both
this, does that mean that we have to use the threat, Senator Hagel, of
withdrawal to get these sides in Iraq to agree?
SEN. HAGEL: Well, that's part of it, certainly. But the fact is we just
can't precipitously withdraw. We have too much at stake. There are too many
consequences for that action. And I suspect the Iraqis know that. I would guess
everyone knows that. So what we've got to do, it seems to me, is calibrate some
new thinking here, put something on the table that we haven't though through.
For example, I suggested before the elections that after the elections in Iraq
the United States move toward helping convene a regional security conference,
because this is a regional issue. What happens in Iraq is going to affect all
of the Middle East and all of the neighbors. We should continue to do that. I'm
very pleased that the administration is going to start talking to Iran. I think
that's something some of us felt needed to be done. The limitations that we
have, the options we have, have to be factored in here. And it is up to the
Iraqi people. The Iraqi people will determine the future of Iraq.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: How about this issue of leverage, though? Steven Bitter
in Foreign Affairs says we have to slow down our build- up of the Iraqi forces
in order to convince the Shiites that they're not going to be able to get away
with building up the militias going after the Sunnis.
SEN. REED: Well, there aren't many good options out there and the only
leverage we have is our troop presence and I think we have to make it clear to
the Iraqi political leaders that if they're not able or willing to come
together with a political solution that recognizes the differences and pulls
together the different factions that our presence can't be indefinite there. I
don't think it's appropriate to lay out a public timetable --
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: But isn't that the only way that threat has some
teeth?
SEN. REED: Well, the only way it has teeth is to go and communicate with
them that we've not going to stay forever, we're not going to be hostage to
their feuds, their factions, that we will, in fact, at some point, determine
that our presence there is not helping at all, it's disabling, not enabling,
and I think we have to be very clear to them. I think we have to do it
publicly. The president has been very reluctant to send a strong public signal
that our long-term presence there is a function of the political steps the
Iraqis take and that's precisely what they have to do.
SEN. HAGEL: George, I might add one other thing. I think it's important that
we stop this talk about we're not going to leave until we achieve victory.
Well, what is victory? We achieved victory, Saddam's gone, the Iraqis have a
constitution, they had an election, it's now up to them. If you define victory
by what nebulous measure here, we'll never be out of there and you put yourself
in a corner, you trap yourself when you talk that way. And that further plays
right into your question about leverage of redeploying troops or pulling troops
out when you say we're not going to leave till there's victory.
SEN. REED: But one of the other problems we have, you know, following up
with Chuck's point about complete victory, is we don't have the compliment to
our military forces on the ground.
We don't have the State Department people, the Department of Agriculture,
the AID people to transform this military success into something that people
would talk about as a stable and effective governmental structure in Iraq.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: But as you both know, President Bush has said we're not
going to leave until we have victory and just this morning in The Washington
Post, Senator Hagel, Secretary Rumsfeld says, "Turning our backs on post-war
Iraq today would be the modern equivalent of handing post-war Germany back to
the Nazis." Is that an appropriate analogy?
SEN. HAGEL: I don't think it is. I understand that the secretary has a
difficult assignment to try to assign some credibility to the current policy
and I don't think the current policy is working. We need some new thinking
here. And I think we should not be afraid to think through, which we have never
done, we didn't think through this at all before we went into Iraq, but think
through consequences, all right, what if we leave at some point? What if all
the worst-case scenarios happen?
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: So we have to start thinking about a staged
withdrawal?
SEN. HAGEL: Well, we always should be thinking about that. But somehow we
are going to have to bring into the mix here the obligations, responsibility --
not just for the Iraqi people, but of the region. And this mindless kind of
banter about, well, if we leave, the whole place falls apart, we can't leave,
we can't even think about leaving. Wait a minute, wait a minute, you just
showed on your screen the cost to the American people of the last three years.
It's helping bankrupt this country, by the way. We didn't think about any of
that. Not just the high cost of lives and the continuation of that, but our
standing in the world. And I would define it this way. Are we better off today
than we were three years ago? Is the Middle East more stable than it was three
years ago? Absolutely not. It's more unstable. We've got to think in a
big-picture way here that we haven't thought before. I think we need to talk to
the Iranians. They'll be no peace in Iraq or in the Middle East without the
Iranians being part of that. That doesn't mean you give up or you negotiate or
you lose your sovereignty. But this is a time for some wide-view, intense
thinking.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: Wholesale change in strategy now?
SEN. REED: Well, I think we have to -- I agree with Chuck -- have to take a
regional view. I think we have to recognize this strategy has failed. Iran has
benefited from the strategic mistakes of this administration. They're much more
influential in the region than they were several years ago. We have to
recognize this. I believe, along with Senator Hagel, that talking to them right
now about Iraq makes sense because they have influence there and we want a
peaceful situation.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: The former prime minister of Iraq, Ayad Allawi, made
some news in London today, he said civil war has already broken out in that
country. Take a look.
FORMER PRIME MINISTER OF IRAQ AYAD ALLAWI: We are losing a day, as an
average, 50-60 people throughout the country, if not more. If this is not civil
war, then God knows what civil war is. I think Iraq is facing -- is in the
middle of a crisis. Maybe we have not reached the point of no return yet, but
we are moving towards this point.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: Senator Hagel, if civil war break out, even beyond what
Prime Minister Allawi talked about, what should the U.S. military strategy
be?
SEN. HAGEL: Well, first, I think prime minister -- the former prime minister
is correct. I think we have had a low-grade civil war going on in Iraq,
certainly the last six months, maybe the last year. Our own generals
have told me that privately, George. So that's a fact. And for us to walk away
from that or try to hue this up with some rosy veneer --
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: But do we put U.S. troops in the middle of it?
SEN. HAGEL: That's the second part of this. We're limited. What Jack said
earlier about a force structure. I mean, think of it. We invaded that country,
intended to occupy it with 130,000 troops. We had 550,000 troops on the border
of Kuwait and Iraq in 1991 and that was just to push Saddam back up into Iraq.
We never had the force structure to be able to do the mission.
Now, we are limited three years later. I think those limitations are quite
clear. So, again, what Jack said, I've said it, I think we all understand it,
our options are limited here. If the civil war really breaks out, then this is
all part of what we're talking about, a larger strategy strategic thinking
about all these worse-case options as to what happens. Do we pull our people
out? Do we just keep them there? Do we put them in the middle of a civil
war?
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: What's the answer?
SEN. REED: Well, the answer is if we're in a civil war, then we have to
protect our forces. If we go into a force protection mission to ensure that
they're not trapped, they're not caught in that crossfire, that we retain the
right, obviously, to strike at terrorists everywhere within the region,
particularly in Iraq, but it might become just like Lebanon where our situation
there is so tenuous that we don't -- we won't be the ones to decide whether we
stay or whether we go. Events on the ground will, perhaps, force us out.
The overall situation, I think, is a combination of incompetence by this
administration. I think it's interesting that Secretary Rumsfeld is referring
to post-war Germany now. He should have thought about that before we sent too
few troops in there to secure a country, too few civilian experts to help
maintain a country. What we did in post-war Germany was a huge number of troops
together with experts to help that country rebound, to stabilize, and become a
contributing member of Europe.
MR. STEPHANOPOULOS: That's going to have to be the last word today. Senator
Reed, Senator Hagel, thank you both very much.
SEN. HAGEL: Thank you.
SEN. REED: Thank you.