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ARG: Censure/Impeach Poll
American Research Group
March 17, 2006
| Do you favor or oppose the United States
Senate passing a resolution censuring President George W. Bush for authorizing
wiretaps of Americans within the United States without obtaining court
orders? |
|
| 3/15/06 |
Favor |
Oppose |
Undecided |
|
| All Adults |
46% |
44% |
10% |
| Voters |
48% |
43% |
9% |
|
| Republicans (33%) |
29% |
57% |
14% |
| Democrats (37%) |
70% |
26% |
4% |
| Independents (30%) |
42% |
47% |
11% |
|
| Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews
among a random sample of adults nationwide March 13-15, 2006. The theoretical
margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. |
| Do you favor or oppose the United States
House of Representatives voting to impeach President George W.
Bush? |
|
| 3/15/06 |
Favor |
Oppose |
Undecided |
|
| All Adults |
42% |
49% |
9% |
| Voters |
43% |
50% |
7% |
|
| Republicans (33%) |
18% |
80% |
2% |
| Democrats (37%) |
61% |
30% |
9% |
| Independents (30%) |
47% |
40% |
13% |
|
| Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews
among a random sample of adults nationwide March 13-15, 2006. The theoretical
margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. |
Americans are split over the US Senate censuring George W. Bush, but more
Americans are opposed to the US House of Representatives voting to impeach
Bush.
| Bush Job Approval Rating |
| 2/21/06 |
Approve |
Disapprove |
Undecided |
|
| Overall |
38% |
58% |
4% |
| Economy |
37% |
58% |
5% |
George W. Bush's job approval ratings remain unchanged even as Americans
become less pessimistic about the national economy and more optimistic about
their personal financial situations. Details from the nationwide survey
conducted February 18-21 are available at The National Economy. Results from
the March survey will be available on March 22.
How effective was George W. Bush's 2006 State of the Union Address in
engaging voters? Our panel of voters found the address to be far less engaging
than the 2003, 2004, and 2005 addresses. Go to State of the Union to see what
the 2006 address looks like compared to the 2003, 2004, and
2005 addresses.
| 2008 Presidential Ballot |
| Likely Voters |
SC |
ME |
NH |
VT |
MA |
CT |
RI |
|
| Clinton |
32% |
42% |
32% |
38% |
39% |
49% |
40% |
| McCain |
52% |
46% |
52% |
47% |
48% |
39% |
44% |
| Undecided |
16% |
12% |
16% |
15% |
13% |
12% |
16% |
|
|
1200 completed telephone interviews among likely voters in
each state, February 2-9, 2006.
Theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage
points, 95% of the time, in each state.
|
John McCain leads Hillary Clinton in South Carolina, New
Hampshire, Vermont, and Massachusetts. Clinton leads McCain in Connecticut. The
race is too close to call in Maine and Rhode Island. Click on the "G" in the
menu in the left column for details by party for each state.
| 2008 Democratic Presidential
Primary |
| Likely Primary Voters |
SC |
ME |
NH |
VT |
MA |
CT |
RI |
|
| Bayh |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Biden |
1% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
1% |
| Clark |
2% |
5% |
7% |
3% |
4% |
3% |
2% |
| Clinton |
30% |
36% |
32% |
34% |
36% |
38% |
34% |
| Daschle |
- |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Edwards |
15% |
6% |
9% |
3% |
4% |
3% |
2% |
| Feingold |
1% |
1% |
2% |
3% |
2% |
3% |
1% |
| Gore |
8% |
5% |
5% |
6% |
7% |
4% |
6% |
| Kerry |
4% |
5% |
7% |
4% |
10% |
3% |
8% |
| Richardson |
- |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Warner |
2% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
| Undecided |
36% |
37% |
31% |
40% |
31% |
39% |
42% |
|
| * Less than .5 percent
600 completed telephone interviews among likely Democratic
primary voters in each state, February 2-9, 2006.
Theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage
points, 95% of the time, in each state.
|
Hillary Clinton leads the Democratic presidential preference in
all seven states. Clinton has her largest lead against her potential opponents
in Connecticut, while the combined preference for her opponents exceeds her
preference in South Carolina (30% to 34%) and New Hampshire (32% to 37%). Click
on the "D" in the menu in the left column for details by party for each
state.
| 2008 Republican
Presidential Primary |
| Likely Primary Voters |
SC |
ME |
NH |
VT |
MA |
CT |
RI |
|
| Allen |
1% |
* |
1% |
1% |
1% |
- |
- |
| Brownback |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Frist |
2% |
2% |
3% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
2% |
| Gingrich |
9% |
7% |
8% |
6% |
4% |
9% |
6% |
| Hagel |
- |
* |
- |
* |
* |
- |
- |
| Huckabee |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| McCain |
42% |
39% |
41% |
46% |
49% |
42% |
45% |
| Pataki |
1% |
2% |
5% |
7% |
2% |
12% |
1% |
| Romney |
5% |
10% |
9% |
6% |
20% |
6% |
17% |
| Tancredo |
- |
- |
* |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Undecided |
40% |
39% |
33% |
32% |
23% |
29% |
29% |
|
| * Less than .5 percent
600 completed telephone interviews among likely Republican
primary voters in each state, February 2-9, 2006.
Theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage
points, 95% of the time, in each state.
|
John McCain leads in preference among likely Republican primary
voters in all seven states. New Hampshire and Massachusetts. McCain's
preference in each state exceeds the combined preference of his potential
opponents. Click on the "R" in the menu in the left column for details by party
for each state.
See your out-of-conscious processing system at work and learn how to improve
your marketing and advertising efforts by understanding the power behind the
.
ARG's Electoral Vote Calculator has been updated to reflect the 2004
results. Assign states to the Republican or Democrat for 2008 and watch it
calculate the electoral votes for president at Electoral Vote Calculator.
The margins of error reported for most polls underestimate the actual
margins of error for ballot estimates from the same samples. Use the Ballot
Lead Calculator to determine if the lead for any survey is statistically
significant.
The New Hampshire Poll:
Results from the December 2005 Quarterly New Hampshire Poll are available at
The New Hampshire Poll. NH residents rate NH business conditions, their
personal finances, John Lynch, and George W. Bush.
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