A Year After Iraq War
Mistrust of America in Europe Even Higher,
Muslim Anger Persists
Released: March 16, 2004
Summary of Findings
A year after the
war in Iraq, discontent with America and its policies has
intensified rather than diminished. Opinion of the United States
in France and Germany is at least as negative now as at the
war's conclusion, and British views are decidedly more
critical. Perceptions of American unilateralism remain widespread
in European and Muslim nations, and the war in Iraq has
undermined America's credibility abroad. Doubts about the
motives behind the U.S.-led war on terrorism abound, and a
growing percentage of Europeans want foreign policy and security
arrangements independent from the United States. Across Europe,
there is considerable support for the European Union to become as
powerful as the United States.
In the predominantly Muslim countries surveyed, anger toward
the United States remains pervasive, although the level of hatred
has eased somewhat and support for the war on terrorism has
inched up. Osama bin Laden, however, is viewed favorably by large
percentages in Pakistan (65%), Jordan (55%) and Morocco (45%).
Even in Turkey, where bin Laden is highly unpopular, as many as
31% say that suicide attacks against Americans and other
Westerners in Iraq are justifiable. Majorities in all four Muslim
nations surveyed doubt the sincerity of the war on terrorism.
Instead, most say it is an effort to control Mideast oil and to
dominate the world.
There has
been little change in opinion about the war in Iraq –
except in Great Britain, where support for the decision to go to
war has plummeted from 61% last May to 43% in the current survey.
In contrast, 60% of Americans continue to back the war. Among the
coalition of the "unwilling," large majorities in
Germany, France and Russia still believe their countries made the
right decision in not taking part in the war. Moreover, there is
broad agreement in nearly all of the countries surveyed –
the U.S. being a notable exception – that the war in Iraq
hurt, rather than helped, the war on terrorism.
In the four predominantly Muslim countries surveyed,
opposition to the war remains nearly universal. Moreover, while
large majorities in Western European countries opposed to the war
say Saddam Hussein's ouster will improve the lot of the
Iraqi people, those in Muslim countries are less confident. In
Jordan, no less than 70% of survey respondents think the Iraqis
will be worse off with Hussein gone.
This is the
latest in a series of international surveys by the Pew Global
Attitudes Project. It was conducted from late February to early
March in the United States and eight other countries, with
fieldwork under the direction of Princeton Survey Research
Associates International. The survey finds a significant point of
agreement in opinion on Iraq's future. Overwhelming
majorities in all countries surveyed say it will take longer than
a year to establish a stable government in Iraq. But there are
deep differences about whether the U.S. or the United Nations
would do the best job of helping Iraqis to form such a
government. The U.N. is the clear choice of people in Western
Europe and Turkey; Americans are divided over this issue.
However, roughly half of Jordanians and a third of Moroccans
volunteered that neither the U.S. nor the U.N could do best in
this regard.
Americans have a far different view of the war's impact
– on the war on terrorism and the global standing of the
U.S. – than do people in the other surveyed countries.
Generally, Americans think the war helped in the fight against
terrorism, illustrated the power of the U.S. military, and
revealed America to be trustworthy and supportive of democracy
around the world.
These
notions are not shared elsewhere. Majorities in Germany, Turkey
and France – and half of the British and Russians –
believe the conflict in Iraq undermined the war on terrorism. At
least half the respondents in the eight other countries view the
U.S. as less trustworthy as a consequence of the war. For the
most part, even U.S. military prowess is not seen in a better
light as a result of the war in Iraq.
A growing number in Western Europe also think that the United
States is overreacting to the threat of terrorism. Only in Great
Britain and Russia do large majorities believe that the U.S. is
right to be so concerned about terrorism. Many people in France
(57%) and Germany (49%) have come to agree with the widespread
view in the Muslim countries surveyed that the America is
exaggerating the terrorist threat.
Nevertheless, support
for the U.S.-led war on terrorism has increased dramatically
among Russians, despite their generally critical opinion of U.S.
policies. More than seven-in-ten Russians (73%) currently back
the war on terrorism, up from 51% last May. Since the end of the
Iraq war, there also have been gains in support for the U.S.
anti-terrorism campaign in Turkey (from 22% to 37%) and Morocco
(9% to 28%). On the other hand, backing for the war against
terrorism has again slipped in France and Germany; only about
half of the public in each country favors the U.S.-led
effort.
Publics in the surveyed countries other than the United States
express considerable skepticism of America's motives in its
global struggle against terrorism. Solid majorities in France and
Germany believe the U.S. is conducting the war on terrorism in
order to control Mideast oil and dominate the world. People in
Muslim nations who doubt the sincerity of American anti-terror
efforts see a wider range of ulterior motives, including helping
Israel and targeting unfriendly Muslim governments and
groups.
Large majorities in almost every country surveyed
think that American and British leaders lied when they claimed,
prior to the Iraq war, that Saddam Hussein's regime had
weapons of mass destruction. On balance, people in the United
States and Great Britain disagree. Still, about three-in-ten in
the U.S. (31%) and four-in-ten in Great Britain (41%) say leaders
of the two countries lied to provide a rationale for the war.
In that regard, opinions of both President Bush and British
Prime Minister Tony Blair are negative. Large majorities in every
country, except for the U.S., hold an unfavorable opinion of
Bush. Blair is rated favorably only by a narrow majority in Great
Britain but fully three-quarters of Americans. In contrast, U.N.
Secretary-General Kofi Annan is viewed positively in nearly all
nine countries surveyed, with Jordan and Morocco as prominent
exceptions.
The United Nations itself engenders varied reactions around
the world. Just 55% of Americans have a favorable opinion of the
world body. This is the lowest rating the U.N. has achieved in 14
years of Pew Research Center surveys. People in Russia and the
Western European countries have a considerably more favorable
view of the U.N. But large majorities in Jordan and Morocco hold
negative views of both the U.N. and the man who leads it.
Majorities
in the Western European countries surveyed believe their own
government should obtain U.N. approval before dealing with an
international threat. That idea is much more problematic for
Americans, and on this issue Russians and people in Muslim
countries are much closer to Americans than they are to Western
Europeans.
Despite that small piece of common ground, however, there is
still considerable hostility toward the U.S. in the Muslim
countries surveyed. Substantial numbers in each of these
countries has a negative view of the U.S. Overwhelming majorities
in Jordan and Morocco believe suicide attacks against Americans
and other Westerners in Iraq are justifiable. As a point of
comparison, slightly more people in those two countries say the
same about Palestinian suicide attacks against Israelis.
About half of Pakistanis also say suicide attacks on Americans
in Iraq – and against Israelis in the Palestinian conflict
– are justifiable.
Fewer
respondents in Turkey agree, but slightly more Turks view suicide
attacks on Americans in Iraq as justifiable as say the same about
Palestinian attacks on Israelis (31% vs. 24%).
Other Findings
Despite concerns about rising anti-Semitism in Europe,
there are no indications that anti-Jewish sentiment has increased
over the past decade. Favorable ratings of Jews are actually
higher now in France, Germany and Russia than they were in 1991.
Nonetheless, Jews are better liked in the U.S. than in Germany
and Russia. As is the case with Americans, Europeans hold much
more negative views of Muslims than of Jews.
The survey finds, however, that Christians get much
lower ratings in predominantly Muslim countries than do Muslims
in mostly Christian countries. Majorities in Morocco (73%),
Pakistan (62%) and Turkey (52%) express negative views of
Christians.
The adage that people in other nations may dislike America, but
nonetheless want to move there is borne out in Russia, Turkey and
Morocco. Roughly half of the respondents in those three countries
say people who have moved to the U.S. have a better life.
But one of the largest gaps between Americans and
Europeans concerns the question of whether people who move to the
U.S. have a better life. Americans overwhelmingly believe this to
be the case – 88% say people who move to the U.S. from
other countries have a better life. By contrast, just 14% of
Germans, 24% of French and 41% of British think that people who
have moved to the U.S. from their countries have a better
life.
The Pew Research Center is supported by The Pew Charitable
Trusts
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