Fuzzy Math and Other
Lies!
nytimes.com
White House arithmetic is always a creative subject, and
Democrats say that last week it reached impressive new levels of
inventiveness. On Wednesday, as Senator Edward M. Kennedy,
Democrat of Massachusetts, called for delaying the
administration's scheduled income tax cuts in 2004 and 2006 for
the most prosperous families in America, President Bush and his
minions could hardly restrain their glee.
A delay in a tax cut is nothing less than a tax increase, they
declared. But what else to expect, they asked, from the
Democrats?
Mr. Bush was one of the first out of the gate in a midterm
election year with the latest in administration math. In the Oval
Office on Wednesday afternoon, a reporter had only to utter the
words "Senator Kennedy called for" before the president jumped
in. "Oh, let me comment," he said. "I appreciate that very
much."
He then said: "Those who want to revoke the tax cut, basically
raise taxes, are those who just don't share my view. I think
raising taxes in the midst of a recession is wrong economic
policy."
Ari Fleischer, the White House press secretary, offered up
additional calculations the same day. Asked at a briefing if it
was fair and accurate to describe Mr. Kennedy's call for a delay
in the tax cut as a tax increase, Mr. Fleischer responded:
"Y-E-S, yes. When you tell the American people that we promise
you, and it's the law of the land, that you are going to have
more money in your next paycheck, and then the Democrats say,
`We're going to take that money out of your paycheck' to the
American people, that is nothing but a tax hike."
Time out.
Didn't Jeb Bush, the governor of Florida and the president's
brother, sign into law last month a delay in a scheduled state
tax cut on intangibles like stocks to fill gaps in Florida's
ailing budget? Therefore is that not, using the White House math,
a tax increase?
"That's a state matter, and the president doesn't weigh in on
state matters," Mr. Fleischer somberly replied.
Vice President Dick Cheney, asked last month by Tim Russert on
the NBC program "Meet the Press" whether the president would
follow his brother's lead and roll back his tax cuts, came up
with this: "I think those are different circumstances, Tim. I
think if you think about it, you know, what a state does is much
more fiscal management, whereas what we're talking about at the
federal level is what really governs the overall shape and
direction of our economy."
It was finally left to Marc Racicot, the new chairman of the
Republican Party, to break loose from the White House logic.
Asked yesterday by Mr. Russert on "Meet the Press" if Jeb Bush
was, in fact, raising taxes, Mr. Racicot at first stalled, then
distinguished himself on national television as the first member
of the inner circle to toss the president's younger brother over
the side.
"The nomenclature can be debated time and time again," Mr.
Racicot genially responded. "But this is a scheduled tax-relief
measure for millions and millions of American families and
clearly if it's not going to go into place, then one perspective
most certainly is that it's raising revenue."
Mr. Russert pressed in on his prey. So, he asked, is Governor
Bush raising taxes?
"I think that argument can be made in all fairness, yes," Mr.
Racicot conceded.
Democrats, not surprisingly, say that both Mr. Racicot and the
White House are wrong, and that a delay in a tax cut is just
that, a delay in a tax cut. More important, they say, is that Mr.
Kennedy's proposal to roll back future cuts — so the nation
can afford better health and child care, he says — would
affect only the top 5 percent of American families.
Under the Kennedy proposal, families of four making less than
$130,000 a year would still get all of the scheduled cuts under
the $1.35 trillion, 10- year tax relief package that Mr. Bush
signed into law last year. For example, a family of four making
$50,000 a year will get a tax cut of about $800 in 2002 and
$1,017 in 2006.
Under the Kennedy plan, the richest families would still get
their tax cuts scheduled for 2002, but would not get as big a cut
in 2004 and 2006.
According to an analysis prepared by the Center on Budget and
Policy Priorities, a liberal group, families with annual incomes
of $1 million are scheduled to receive a tax cut of $7,133 in
2002 under the new Bush administration law. Mr. Kennedy would
keep that tax cut in place.
In 2006, under the Bush administration law, those
million-dollar families are to receive a tax cut of $31,406, the
budget center said. Mr. Kennedy, according its analysis, would
hold the tax cut to $8,954.
So is that a tax increase?
"No one is getting their taxes raised," said Gene Sperling,
who was President Bill Clinton's chief economic adviser. "The
only debate is how large the tax cuts should be for the top 5
percent."
Robert D. Reischauer, the former director of the Congressional
Budget Office who is now president of the Urban Institute, a
research center, had another answer. "This isn't budgeting," he
said. "It's politics."
When you can't win with the facts, lie. Bush and Co. are becoming
seasoned experts. The sad part is someone is going to have to pay
for these tax cuts at some point. Deficits are projected for
years to come by Bush's own Budget Office. We won't accuse the
Bush team of being honest?
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