American investors move away
from US assets
FT.com
By Jennifer Hughes in New York
Published: August 15 2005 18:36
Last updated: August 15 2005 23:33
American investors diversified away from the US at the fastest
rate in 10 years, even as foreign buyers stepped up their
purchases of US assets, data released on Monday suggested.
US investors bought $146bn of overseas bonds and equities in
the past 12 months more than at any time since 1994.
But despite anxieties about the still-growing US current
account deficit, overseas investors poured a net $71.2bn into US
assets, up from a revised $55.8bn in May, according to the
Treasury.
The capital flows, which more than covered the $58.5bn trade
deficit for June, suggest that confidence in the strength of the
US economy will be sufficient to sustain the external
deficits.
The dollar rose to $1.236 from $1.239 against the euro on the
news.
The US needs to attract more than $2bn in net inflows each
working day to cover the current account gap, of which the
capital and trade accounts are the most visible and biggest
components.
"The bulk of the current account financing burden falls
on securities rather than direct investment so we have to focus
on this report,' said Sean Callow, senior currency
strategist at Westpac Bank.
> >> >Tax take set to help shrink US deficit
>> >> > The US budget deficit this year looks set
to be around $60bn less than forecast earlier this year, with
surging tax revenues helping to shrink the fiscal shortfall.
Go there > > US financial markets have paid particularly
close attention to foreign appetite for US assets amid concerns
that Asian central banks could be curbing their purchases of US
bonds. Lower demand from overseas could push US borrowing costs
sharply higher.
The inflows into the US were led in June by the corporate bond
market. Foreigners bought a record net $52.2bn in corporate debt
compared with a 12-month average of $27bn as bonds rallied
strongly after credit market turmoil in May which had largely
shut down the market for new borrowing.
But overseas investors remained wary of US stock markets.
Foreigners bought a net $0.1bn of US stocks which took the
three-month rolling average to just $1.7bn, the lowest in eight
months.
"That they're buying bonds and not stocks has to be a
bit of a concern,' said Mr Callow. "It suggests
investors are happy to take fixed coupon payments on bonds but
not convinced enough to bet on equity market
appreciation.'
American investors' interest in overseas assets is the latest
example of a growing trend. According to the Treasury, US
investors bought $9.64bn of foreign equities, up from $4.7bn in
May and taking the 12-month total to $96.2bn.
"It is partly because of the dollar, partly corporate
scandals. Both have been a wake-up call to investors with too
much exposure to US equities,' said Brian Garvey,
strategist at State Street bank.
State Street's indicators have shown weak demand for US
equities over recent weeks from both domestic and foreign buyers,
even when good news has lifted stocks.
"This is one of the reasons we're still negative on the
dollar,' added Mr Garvey.
? Separately, the Congressional Budget Office on Monday
forecast the budget deficit will shrink to $331bn this fiscal
year, down from a record $412bn last year, as tax revenues
improve. Economists had forecast an even bigger deficit this
year.
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