Saddam Misled US and UN to
Stop Iran from Invading
Original title: Report unveils Saddam's true
strategic intentions
By Steven Komarow and John Diamond, USA TODAY
Posted 10/7/2004 10:30 PM
Updated 10/8/2004 8:09 AM
On the eve of the 1991 Persian Gulf War, Saddam Hussein met
with his top commanders. They chatted about a new uniform design
as waiters served food. Then the dictator ordered the doors
closed and turned to business: repelling the expected U.S.-led
effort to liberate Kuwait.
"I want to make sure that the germ and chemical warheads, as
well as the chemical and germ bombs, are available," Saddam
said.
When it came to weapons of mass destruction, Saddam was a
believer. Fusillades of poison gas had beat back waves of Iranian
troops a few years earlier, and Saddam thought such weapons might
help save him again.
His truculent attitude, captured on a tape uncovered and
translated years later by U.S. weapons inspectors, would last but
a few days. After a U.S. warning that use of such weapons would
bring a massive response, Saddam fired only conventional warheads
at Israel and Saudi Arabia. And within a year of Desert Storm,
Saddam would back down again and order his banned weapons
destroyed to meet United Nations demands.
The episode reflects the complex picture of Saddam that
emerges from the 1,000-page report of chief U.S. arms inspector
Charles Duelfer. The Iraqi dictator, now in U.S. military custody
awaiting a war crimes trial in Iraq, comes across not as a madman
but as a calculating adversary, ruthless but also ready to make a
tactical retreat.
As the report makes clear, successive U.S. administrations
misjudged not just Saddam's arsenal, but Saddam himself and in so
doing may have missed opportunities to avoid war. To be sure, the
Iraqi dictator comes across as brutal, perfectly willing to
execute subordinates who defy him, or gas civilian populations.
He was belligerent to the world. But the new portrait, one that
was not available before last year's invasion, also shows that
while the United States was obsessed with Saddam, Saddam was
usually more concerned about neighboring Iran than his more
distant adversary.
Understanding Saddam's actions, Duelfer suggests, requires
"recalibrating the perspective of the reader" to see Saddam's
world through his eyes.
Based largely on interrogation of the former dictator and
members of his inner circle who are now awaiting trial, the
report concludes that Saddam saw himself as the latest in a chain
of great Iraqis in the tradition of Nebuchadnezzar, who ruled the
ancient Babylonian empire from 605 to 562 B.C. Even today,
Saddam's biggest concern is his legacy. The FBI interrogator who
has conducted all the interviews of Saddam used that vanity to
try to prod him to tell his story and answer questions about
banned weapons.
Saddam rightly feared the United States wanted to kill him. He
said he didn't use a telephone more than twice in 10 years
because he thought he'd be tracked. He grew increasingly
distrustful over time. But he didn't see the United States as
Iraq's main foe. That was Iran.
Fear of another Iranian invasion apparently compelled Saddam
to play a double game: deny he had weapons of mass destruction to
the West while leaving enough doubt that Iran could not be sure
it wouldn't face the same devastating barrages the second time
around. It turned out that Saddam was deceiving Iran and telling
the West the truth, though it was hard to tell at the time.
Saddam destroyed the weapons because he wanted the U.N. sanctions
lifted — so he could buy more military components with
which to fight Iran. But Saddam didn't loudly and unequivocally
proclaim destruction of all his banned weapons because that would
show Iraq's weakness to Iran, the report says.
One of Saddam's favorite books was Ernest Hemingway's The Old
Man and the Sea. Saddam identified with the protagonist,
Santiago, the Cuban fisherman who hooks a great marlin only to
have sharks eat the fish down to a skeleton.
"The story sheds light on Saddam's view of the world and his
place in it," according to the report. To him, "even a hollow
victory was by his reckoning a real one."
Saddam was willing to see his country reduced to poverty and
decay rather than lose face to the U.N. sanctions and
inspections. This was not clearly understood by the U.S. policy
makers who tried to bring him to heel for a dozen years after the
first Gulf War.
U.S. intelligence did a poor job discerning the mindset of
Saddam and his inner circle in part because it had no access to
that inner circle, Duelfer says.
Testifying before the Senate Armed Services Committee, Duelfer
said the U.S. intelligence analysts "were actually in a very poor
position. They didn't have any ground troops. They spent a lot of
time looking at computer screens" instead of talking to
Iraqis.
Saddam, meantime, came to misjudge the United States much as
the United States misjudged him.
He was wily and had nearly won lifting of the U.N. sanctions
at the time of the 9/11 attacks. But he did not understand how
that day changed things. He committed a grievous error by being
one of the few world leaders not to express outrage. Although he,
too, distrusted al-Qaeda, he did not condemn it.
The report is not the last word. Saddam has told his
interrogator that he's looking forward to the public stage that a
war crimes trial will provide.
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