Bush Failed to Attack
Zarqawi
Yahoo News
By SCOT J. PALTROW
Staff Reporter of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
October 25, 2004; Page A3
As the toll of mayhem inspired by terrorist leader Abu Musab
al-Zarqawi mounts in Iraq, some former officials and military
officers increasingly wonder whether the Bush administration made
a mistake months before the start of the war by stopping the
military from attacking his camp in the northeastern part of that
country.
The Pentagon drew up detailed plans in June 2002, giving the
administration a series of options for a military strike on the
camp Mr. Zarqawi was running then in remote northeastern Iraq,
according to generals who were involved directly in planning the
attack and several former White House staffers. They said the
camp, near the town of Khurmal, was known to contain Mr. Zarqawi
and his supporters as well as al Qaeda fighters, all of whom had
fled from Afghanistan. Intelligence indicated the camp was
training recruits and making poisons for attacks against the
West.
Senior Pentagon officials who were involved in planning the
attack said that even by spring 2002 Mr. Zarqawi had been
identified as a significant terrorist target, based in part on
intelligence that the camp he earlier ran in Afghanistan had been
attempting to make chemical weapons, and because he was known as
the head of a group that was plotting, and training for, attacks
against the West. He already was identified as the ringleader in
several failed terrorist plots against Israeli and European
targets. In addition, by late 2002, while the White House still
was deliberating over attacking the camp, Mr. Zarqawi was known
to have been behind the October 2002 assassination of a senior
American diplomat in Amman, Jordan.
But the raid on Mr. Zarqawi didn't take place. Months passed
with no approval of the plan from the White House, until word
came down just weeks before the March 19, 2003, start of the Iraq
war that Mr. Bush had rejected any strike on the camp until after
an official outbreak of hostilities with Iraq. Ultimately, the
camp was hit just after the invasion of Iraq began.
Lisa Gordon-Hagerty, who was in the White House as the
National Security Council's director for combatting terrorism at
the time, said an NSC working group, led by the Defense
Department, had been in charge of reviewing the plans to target
the camp. She said the camp was "definitely a stronghold, and we
knew that certain individuals were there including Zarqawi." Ms.
Gordon-Hagerty said she wasn't part of the working group and
never learned the reason why the camp wasn't hit. But she said
that much later, when reports surfaced that Mr. Zarqawi was
behind a series of bloody attacks in Iraq, she said "I remember
my response," adding, "I said why didn't we get that ['son of a
b-'] when we could."
Administration officials say the attack was set aside for a
variety of reasons, including uncertain intelligence reports on
Mr. Zarqawi's whereabouts and the difficulties of hitting him
within a large complex.
"Because there was never any real-time, actionable
intelligence that placed Zarqawi at Khurmal, action taken against
the facility would have been ineffective," said Jim Wilkinson, a
spokesman for the NSC. "It was more effective to deal with the
facility as part of the broader strategy, and in fact, the
facility was destroyed early in the war."
Another factor, though, was fear that a strike on the camp
could stir up opposition while the administration was trying to
build an international coalition to launch an invasion of Iraq.
Lawrence Di Rita, the Pentagon's chief spokesman, said in an
interview that the reasons for not striking included "the
president's decision to engage the international community on
Iraq." Mr. Di Rita said the camp was of interest only because it
was believed to be producing chemical weapons. He also cited
several potential logistical problems in planning a strike, such
as getting enough ground troops into the area, and the camp's
large size.
Still, after the defeat of the Taliban in Afghanistan,
President Bush had said he relentlessly would pursue and attack
fleeing al Qaeda fighters regardless of where they went to hide.
Mr. Bush also had decided upon a policy of pre-emptive strikes,
in which the U.S. wouldn't wait to be struck before hitting
enemies who posed a threat. An attack on Mr. Zarqawi would have
amounted to such a pre-emptive strike. The story of the debate
over his camp shows how difficult the policy can be to carry out;
Mr. Zarqawi's subsequent resurgence highlights that while
pre-emptive strikes entail considerable risks, the risk of not
making them can be significant too, a factor that may weigh in
future decisions on when to attack terrorist leaders.
Some former officials said the intelligence on Mr. Zarqawi's
whereabouts was sound. In addition, retired Gen. John M. Keane,
the U.S. Army's vice chief of staff when the strike was
considered, said that because the camp was isolated in the thinly
populated, mountainous borderlands of northeastern Iraq, the risk
of collateral damage was minimal. Former military officials said
that adding to the target's allure was intelligence indicating
that Mr. Zarqawi himself was in the camp at the time. A strike at
the camp, they believed, meant at least a chance of killing or
incapacitating him.
Gen. Keane characterized the camp "as one of the best targets
we ever had," and questioned the decision not to attack it. When
the U.S. did strike the camp a day after the war started, Mr.
Zarqawi, many of his followers and Kurdish extremists belonging
to his organization already had fled, people involved with
intelligence say.
In recent months, Mr. Zarqawi's group has been blamed for a
series of beheadings of foreigners and deadly car bombings in
Iraq, as well as the recent kidnapping of Margaret Hassan, the
director of CARE International there. According to wire-service
reports, Mr. Zarqawi's group, recently renamed the Al Qaeda
Organization for Holy War in Iraq, on Sunday claimed
responsibility for the massacre of more than 40 Iraqi army
recruits in eastern Iraq.
The U.S. military over the weekend announced it arrested what
it said was a newly promoted senior leader in Mr. Zarqawi's
group. The man's name wasn't released.
Targeting of the camp and Mr. Zarqawi before the war first was
reported in an NBC Nightly News item in March, but administration
officials subsequently denied it, and the report didn't give
details of the planning of the attack and deliberations over
it.
According to those who were involved during 2002 in planning
an attack, the impetus came from Central Intelligence Agency
reports that al Qaeda fighters were in the camp and that
preparations and training were under way there for attacks on
Western interests. Under the aegis of the Joint Chiefs of Staff,
tentative plans were drawn up and sent to the White House in the
last week of June 2002. Officials involved in planning had
expected a swift decision, but they said they were surprised when
weeks went by with no response from the White House.
Then, in midsummer, word somehow leaked out in the Turkish
press that the U.S. was considering targeting the camp, and
intelligence reports showed that Mr. Zarqawi's group had fled the
camp. But the CIA reported that around the end of 2002 the group
had reoccupied the camp. The military's plans for hitting it
quickly were revived.
Gen. Tommy Franks, who was commander of the U.S. Central
Command and who lately has been campaigning on behalf of Mr.
Bush, suggests in his recently published memoir, "American
Soldier," that Mr. Zarqawi was known to have been in the camp
during the months before the war. Gen. Franks declined to be
interviewed or answer written questions for this article. In
referring to several camps in northern Iraq occupied by al Qaeda
fighters who had fled Afghanistan after the fall of the Taliban,
Gen. Franks wrote: "These camps were examples of the terrorist
'harbors' that President Bush had vowed to crush. One known
terrorist, a Jordanian-born Palestinian named Abu Musab Zarqawi
who had joined al Qaeda in Afghanistan -- where he specialized in
developing chemical and biological weapons -- was now confirmed
to operate from one of the camps in Iraq." Gen. Franks's book
doesn't mention the plans to target the camp.
Questions about whether the U.S. missed an opportunity to take
out Mr. Zarqawi have been enhanced recently by a CIA report on
Mr. Zarqawi, commissioned by Vice President Dick Cheney.
Individuals who have been briefed on the report's contents say it
specifically cites evidence that Mr. Zarqawi was in the camp
during those prewar months. They said the CIA's conclusion was
based in part on a review of electronic intercepts, which show
that Mr. Zarqawi was using a satellite telephone to discuss
matters relating to the camp, and that the intercepts indicated
the probability that the calls were being made from inside the
camp.
--David S. Cloud contributed to this article.
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